主题：A three-stage game modelof competition over natural resources at various intensity levels

主讲人：李骏教授

地点：旭日楼301室

时间：4月2日（周三）下午3:00

报告简介  ：

The geopolitical contestation surrounding critical resources competition has grown increasingly along with the globalisation, and the Russia-Ukraine conflict has in particular drawn unprecedented global attention to the critical values of natural resources. This paper employs a three-stage game theory framework to analyze the dynamics games of coopetition over natural resources by introducing two frameworks: interstate resource and inter-groups resource games, focusing on rare earth and crude oil. These are further categorized by splitting coopetition intensity into high-intensity and low-intensity resource games.  Both theoretical and numerical simulation findings reveal that, in the short term, the outcomes of resources games diverge by intensity: in high-intensity scenarios, resource-dominant or deterrence states often hold the upper hand, whereas in low-intensity scenarios, deterred states tend to gain an advantage. Over the long term, however, as more actors enter the natural resource market, it transitions toward a phase of full competition. Geopolitically, this manifests as a decline in the influence of deterrence signaling states or resource-dominant powers relative to deterred states.

主讲人简介： 

Li Jun is Senior Research Fellow at Curtin University of Technology, Australia, and Visiting Scholar at University College London (UCL), UK. His primary research areas cover global climate governance, energy and environmental policy, international cooperation, and innovation mechanisms. His publications have appeared in top-ranked peer-reviewed journals, including Nature, Energy Policy, Climate Policy, Journal of Business Research, Environment and Development Economics, Technological Forecasting & Social Change, Energy Economics, among others. Jun has led international collaborative research projects funded by the Australian Research Council (ARC), the EU’s FP7 Programme, the Qatar National Research Fund, and China National Natural Science Foundation among others.